New ZealandversusSri Lanka

8 Jan 2025 · ODI

Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photograph

Recorded result

New Zealand won by 113 runs

New Zealand37.0 overs255/9 Sri Lanka30.2 overs142/10 Seddon Park, Hamilton ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

New Zealand more likely to win

64%New Zealand36%Sri Lanka

Why

New Zealand are playing at home in New Zealand
In the last 10 ODIs between these sides, New Zealand won 8 and Sri Lanka won 2
On results in ODIs so far, Sri Lanka rate stronger than New Zealand (1,656 vs 1,648 on our results rating)

Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.