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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
6 Jun 2024 · T20
Lord's · Venue photographMiddlesex started on 48%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 0% to 87% during the match (Glamorgan: 13% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazicaught · Marnus Labuschagne · Mason Crane 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Marnus Labuschagne · b Mason Crane | 48 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 165.52 |
| Martin Anderssonstumped · Chris Cooke · Mason Crane 7 fours · 2 sixes | stumped · Chris Cooke · b Mason Crane | 57 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 167.65 |
| Max Holdencaught · Marnus Labuschagne · Mason Crane 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marnus Labuschagne · b Mason Crane | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Jack Daviescaught · Eddie Byrom · Andy Gorvin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eddie Byrom · b Andy Gorvin | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
 Ryan Higginscaught · Chris Cooke · Andy Gorvin1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Chris Cooke · b Andy Gorvin |
| 18 |
| 16 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 112.50 |
 Luke Hollmanbowled · Timm van der Gugten1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Timm van der Gugten | 17 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 141.67 |
|---|
| Joe Cracknellcaught · Chris Cooke · Daniel Douthwaite 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Cooke · b Daniel Douthwaite | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Josh de Cairesrun out · Daniel Douthwaite · Jamie McIlroy 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Daniel Douthwaite | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Tom Helmcaught · Chris Cooke · Timm van der Gugten0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Cooke · b Timm van der Gugten | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Henry Brookeslbw · Timm van der Gugten 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Timm van der Gugten | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Noah Cornwellnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jamie McIlroy0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Timm van der Gugten1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 30 | 3 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 12.00 | 0 | 2 |
 Mason Crane0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Marnus Labuschagne0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Andy Gorvin0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
1-108 (Martin Andersson, 9.4) · 2-117 (Max Holden, 11.1) · 3-120 (Stephen Eskinazi, 11.5) · 4-133 (Jack Davies, 14.0) · 5-152 (Ryan Higgins, 16.0) · 6-163 (Joe Cracknell, 17.0) · 7-168 (Luke Hollman, 18.1) · 8-168 (Tom Helm, 18.3) · 9-168 (Henry Brookes, 18.5) · 10-173 (Josh de Caires, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 29/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 39/0 |
| 5 | 13 | 52/0 |
| 6 | 19 | 71/0 |
| 7 | 17 | 88/0 |
| 8 | 5 | 93/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 102/0 |
| 10 | 7 | 109/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 117/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 121/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 128/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 133/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 141/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 152/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 163/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 168/6 |
| 19 | 0 | 168/9 |
| 20 | 5 | 173/10 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie McIlroy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Northeast: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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