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Photo: David Hawgood
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
11 Jul 2024 · T20
College Ground, Cheltenham · Venue photographRecorded result
Middlesex started on 35%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 10% to 100% during the match (Gloucestershire: 0% to 90%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leus du Plooycaught · Miles Hammond · Matt Taylor1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Miles Hammond · b Matt Taylor | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
 Mark Stonemancaught · Beau Webster · David Payne1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beau Webster · b David Payne | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
 Ryan Higginscaught · Miles Hammond · Josh Shaw0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Miles Hammond · b Josh Shaw | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Jack Daviescaught · David Payne · Marchant de Lange 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · David Payne · b Marchant de Lange |
| 53 |
| 35 |
| 5 |
| 2 |
| 151.43 |
| Joe Cracknellcaught · Beau Webster · David Payne 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beau Webster · b David Payne | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Martin Anderssoncaught · David Payne · Matt Taylor 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Payne · b Matt Taylor | 52 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmanrun out · Jack Taylor · Matt Taylor0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jack Taylor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Josh de Cairesnot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 31* | 16 | 3 | 1 | 193.75 |
|---|
 Tom Helmcaught · Cameron Bancroft · David Payne1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cameron Bancroft · b David Payne | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Blake Cullennot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 233.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Payne0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Matt Taylor0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Josh Shaw0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 2 | 0 |
 Marchant de Lange0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 11.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Beau Webster0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ollie Price0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Leus du Plooy, 1.3) · 2-13 (Mark Stoneman, 2.1) · 3-19 (Ryan Higgins, 3.2) · 4-32 (Joe Cracknell, 4.3) · 5-133 (Jack Davies, 15.3) · 6-138 (Martin Andersson, 16.3) · 7-138 (Luke Hollman, 16.4) · 8-156 (Tom Helm, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 18/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 24/3 |
| 5 | 9 | 33/4 |
| 6 | 6 | 39/4 |
| 7 | 17 | 56/4 |
| 8 | 11 | 67/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 76/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 81/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 86/4 |
| 12 | 12 | 98/4 |
| 13 | 12 | 110/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 118/4 |
| 15 | 12 | 130/4 |
| 16 | 7 | 137/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 145/7 |
| 18 | 11 | 156/8 |
| 19 | 11 | 167/8 |
| 20 | 14 | 181/8 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mark Stoneman: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marchant de Lange: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
James Bracey: Dave Morton · Public domain
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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