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Photo: David Hawgood
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
11 Jul 2024 · T20
College Ground, Cheltenham · Venue photographRecorded result
Middlesex started on 35%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 10% to 100% during the match (Gloucestershire: 0% to 90%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Noah Cornwell | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Cameron Bancroftlbw · Luke Hollman 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Luke Hollman | 10 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 55.56 |
3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh de Caires · b Noah Cornwell | 16 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 160.00 |
4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ryan Higgins | 31 | 26 | 4 |
| 0 |
| 119.23 |
| Jack Taylorcaught · Ryan Higgins · Blake Cullen 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Ryan Higgins · b Blake Cullen | 45 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 187.50 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Jack Davies · b Luke Hollman | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Jack Davies · b Luke Hollman | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mark Stoneman · b Ryan Higgins | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ryan Higgins · b Tom Helm | 11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 157.14 |
|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 7 | 2 | 0 | 185.71 |
|---|
| David Paynecaught · Martin Andersson · Blake Cullen 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Martin Andersson · b Blake Cullen | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 3 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blake Cullen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 3 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Miles Hammond, 2.3) · 2-26 (James Bracey, 5.0) · 3-40 (Cameron Bancroft, 7.1) · 4-108 (Jack Taylor, 14.0) · 5-112 (Beau Webster, 14.5) · 6-114 (Ben Charlesworth, 15.2) · 7-115 (Ollie Price, 15.5) · 8-127 (Josh Shaw, 17.1) · 9-143 (Matt Taylor, 18.3) · 10-152 (David Payne, 19.5)
Recorded target: 182 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 16/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 26/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 34/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 40/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 50/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 54/3 |
| 10 | 16 | 70/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 75/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 86/3 |
| 13 | 19 | 105/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 108/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 112/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 116/7 |
| 17 | 11 | 127/7 |
| 18 | 11 | 138/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 145/9 |
| 20 | 7 | 152/10 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mark Stoneman: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Ben Charlesworth: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marchant de Lange: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
James Bracey: Dave Morton · Public domain
Miles Hammond: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Taylor: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.