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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
24 May 2026 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Leicestershire started on 40%; Leicestershire batted first.
Leicestershire's chances ranged from 0% to 48% during the match (Durham: 52% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sol Budingercaught · Nathan Sowter · Callum Parkinson 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Nathan Sowter · b Callum Parkinson | 40 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 117.65 |
| Stephen Eskinazicaught · Will Rhodes · Callum Parkinson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Rhodes · b Callum Parkinson | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Rishi Patelrun out · Nathan Sowter · Nathan Sowter 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Nathan Sowter | 14 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Nick Kellybowled · Kasey Aldridge 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Kasey Aldridge | 29 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 111.54 |
 Ashton Turnercaught · Colin Ackermann · Matthew Potts1 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Colin Ackermann · b Matthew Potts |
| 28 |
| 18 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 155.56 |
 Ben Coxbowled · Matthew Potts0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Potts | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ben Greencaught · Kasey Aldridge · Matthew Potts 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kasey Aldridge · b Matthew Potts | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Ben Mikecaught · Matthew Potts · Ben Raine0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Potts · b Ben Raine | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Liam Trevaskisnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
 Josh Daveynot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Kasey Aldridge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Raine0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Colin Ackermann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-19 (Stephen Eskinazi, 2.4) · 2-37 (Rishi Patel, 6.2) · 3-80 (Sol Budinger, 11.2) · 4-117 (Nick Kelly, 15.1) · 5-133 (Ben Cox, 17.3) · 6-136 (Ashton Turner, 18.0) · 7-137 (Ben Mike, 18.2) · 8-145 (Ben Green, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 30/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 36/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 43/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 51/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 59/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 68/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 74/2 |
| 12 | 10 | 84/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 92/3 |
| 14 | 13 | 105/3 |
| 15 | 12 | 117/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 123/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 131/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 136/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 141/7 |
| 20 | 7 | 148/8 |
Ben Mike: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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