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Gulf T20I Championship · 2024/25 · Men
14 Dec 2024 · T20
Qatar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 32%; Oman batted first.
Oman's chances ranged from 31% to 100% during the match (Qatar: 0% to 69%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jatinder Singhcaught · Imal Liyanage · Mohammed Nadeem 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Imal Liyanage · b Mohammed Nadeem | 69 | 50 | 6 | 2 | 138.00 |
| Aamir Kaleemrun out · Amir Farooq · Amir Farooq 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Amir Farooq | 13 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 108.33 |
| K Sonavalecaught · Amir Farooq · Mujeeb Ur Rehman 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amir Farooq · b Mujeeb Ur Rehman | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Hammad Mirzacaught · Mohammed Nadeem · Muhammad Asim 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mohammed Nadeem · b Muhammad Asim | 16 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Wasim Alibowled · Ikramullah Khan 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ikramullah Khan | 34 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 178.95 |
| not out |
| 40* |
| 18 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 222.22 |
| Muzahir Razanot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 2 | 2 | 0 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 6 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Jabir0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Amir Farooq0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Mohammed Nadeem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Mujeeb Ur Rehman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Asim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ikramullah Khan0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 53 | 1 | 13.25 | 4 | 1 |
1-47 (Aamir Kaleem, 5.3) · 2-72 (K Sonavale, 8.5) · 3-107 (Jatinder Singh, 13.0) · 4-131 (Hammad Mirza, 15.0) · 5-195 (Wasim Ali, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 47/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 49/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 56/1 |
| 8 | 11 | 67/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 73/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 83/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 90/2 |
| 12 | 13 | 103/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 107/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 118/3 |
| 15 | 13 | 131/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 142/4 |
| 17 | 12 | 154/4 |
| 18 | 13 | 167/4 |
| 19 | 16 | 183/4 |
| 20 | 21 | 204/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.