OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Nepal tour of Hong Kong · 2023/24 · Men
13 Mar 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Nepal more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Papua New Guinea started on 36%; Papua New Guinea batted first.
Papua New Guinea's chances ranged from 16% to 100% during the match (Nepal: 0% to 85%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kushal Bhurtelbowled · Kabua Morea1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kabua Morea | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
 Binod Bhandaribowled · Kabua Morea1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kabua Morea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
 Rohit Kumarcaught · N Vanua · Sese Bau1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · N Vanua · b Sese Bau | 12 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
 Gulsan Jharun out · Alei Nao · Alei Nao1 fours · 0 sixes |
| run out · Alei Nao |
| 6 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 60.00 |
 Aarif Sheikhbowled · Sese Bau2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sese Bau | 15 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Sundeep Joracaught · Sese Bau · Chad Soper 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sese Bau · b Chad Soper | 17 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 130.77 |
|---|
| Bibek Yadavcaught · Lega Siaka · Chad Soper 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lega Siaka · b Chad Soper | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
|---|
| Lokesh Bamlbw · Semo Kamea 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Semo Kamea | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Karan KCcaught · Semo Kamea · Alei Nao0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Semo Kamea · b Alei Nao | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
 Pratis GCcaught · Alei Nao · Semo Kamea0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alei Nao · b Semo Kamea | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Aakash Chandnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 11 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kabua Morea0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Alei Nao1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 3.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Semo Kamea0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 4.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Chad Soper1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Sese Bau0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Assad Vala0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Binod Bhandari, 0.3) · 2-16 (Kushal Bhurtel, 2.4) · 3-32 (Gulsan Jha, 5.1) · 4-37 (Rohit Kumar, 7.1) · 5-64 (Sundeep Jora, 10.3) · 6-70 (Bibek Yadav, 12.4) · 7-76 (Aarif Sheikh, 13.5) · 8-85 (Lokesh Bam, 15.3) · 9-85 (Pratis GC, 15.5) · 10-85 (Karan KC, 16.3)
Recorded target: 172 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 9 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 21/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 24/2 |
| 5 | 8 | 32/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 34/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 37/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 45/4 |
| 9 | 10 | 55/4 |
| 10 | 8 | 63/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 69/5 |
| 12 | 0 | 69/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 74/6 |
| 14 | 2 | 76/7 |
| 15 | 8 | 84/7 |
| 16 | 1 | 85/9 |
| 17 | 0 | 85/10 |
Gulsan Jha: Elison Pokhrel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rohit Kumar: Cricnepal · CC BY-SA 4.0
Assad Vala: LondonWriting · CC0
Kushal Bhurtel: Kushal Bhurtel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karan KC: Helloworld3377 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Pratis GC: Hamrokhelkud · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aarif Sheikh: Nepalese Diaspora · CC BY-SA 4.0
Binod Bhandari: Punya · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
