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Canada Women tour of Argentina · 2026 · Women
29 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Canada more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Canada started on 64%; Canada batted first.
Canada's chances ranged from 4% to 69% during the match (Argentina: 31% to 97%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Castineirasbowled · Shreya Voya 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shreya Voya | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| T Basilecaught · K Kapadia · Shreya Voya 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · K Kapadia · b Shreya Voya | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| MV Lehmanncaught · Snigdha Malhotra · Shreya Voya 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Snigdha Malhotra · b Shreya Voya | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
 Veronica Vásquezrun out · A Perera · A Perera0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · A Perera | 14 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 35.00 |
| A Galancaught · Harper Chalmers · Shreya Voya 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harper Chalmers · b Shreya Voya |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| JC Cullencaught · A Perera · Harper Chalmers 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Perera · b Harper Chalmers | 19 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 73.08 |
|---|
| M Bestanicaught · A Perera · Harper Chalmers 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Perera · b Harper Chalmers | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| M Lollobowled · Snigdha Malhotra 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Snigdha Malhotra | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| J Andujarnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
|---|
| AC Dei Castellibowled · Snigdha Malhotra 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Snigdha Malhotra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Francesca Galannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rabbjyot Rajput0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Shreya Voya2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Snigdha Malhotra0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| A Perera0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
| M Hundal0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Harper Chalmers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 5.18 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (T Basile, 1.2) · 2-8 (M Castineiras, 1.5) · 3-11 (MV Lehmann, 3.4) · 4-16 (A Galan, 7.2) · 5-45 (Veronica Vásquez, 14.0) · 6-47 (JC Cullen, 14.5) · 7-58 (M Bestani, 16.4) · 8-62 (M Lollo, 17.3) · 9-68 (AC Dei Castelli, 17.5)
Recorded target: 75 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 9/2 |
| 3 | 2 | 11/2 |
| 4 | 0 | 11/3 |
| 5 | 2 | 13/3 |
| 6 | 1 | 14/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 16/3 |
| 8 | 0 | 16/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 22/4 |
| 10 | 1 | 23/4 |
| 11 | 9 | 32/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 34/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 38/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 45/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 48/6 |
| 16 | 7 | 55/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 60/7 |
| 18 | 8 | 68/9 |
| 19 | 7 | 75/9 |
Veronica Vásquez: BugWarp · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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