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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026/27 · Men
7 Oct 2026 · ODI
Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas · Venue photographRecorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 26%; Namibia batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smit Patelcaught · Gerhard Erasmus · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Gerhard Erasmus · b Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton | 50 | 62 | 4 | 2 | 80.65 |
| Monank Patelcaught · Zane Green · Ruben Trumpelmann 14 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zane Green · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 108 | 100 | 14 | 0 | 108.00 |
| Shehan Jayasuriyacaught and bowled · JJ Smit 9 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b JJ Smit | 74 | 75 | 9 | 1 | 98.67 |
| Saiteja Mukkamallacaught · Zane Green · JJ Smit 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zane Green · b JJ Smit | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Sanjay Krishnamurthicaught · Ruben Trumpelmann · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ruben Trumpelmann · b Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton |
Namibia's chances ranged from 1% to 58% during the match (United States of America: 42% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 17 |
| 23 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 73.91 |
| Milind Kumarcaught · Ruben Trumpelmann · Bernard Scholtz 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ruben Trumpelmann · b Bernard Scholtz | 18 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 138.46 |
|---|
 Shubham Ranjanenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Harmeet Singhnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 3.80 | 0 | 0 |
| JJ Smit0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 46 | 2 | 4.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernard Scholtz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.5 | 0 | 65 | 1 | 7.36 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Brassell0 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 84 | 0 | 8.40 | 5 | 1 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Gerhard Erasmus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-96 (Smit Patel, 18.0) · 2-217 (Monank Patel, 35.4) · 3-232 (Saiteja Mukkamalla, 38.3) · 4-255 (Shehan Jayasuriya, 42.3) · 5-274 (Sanjay Krishnamurthi, 45.4) · 6-282 (Milind Kumar, 46.3)
Recorded target: 299 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 20/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 24/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 30/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 32/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 34/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 38/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 42/0 |
| 12 | 6 | 48/0 |
| 13 | 9 | 57/0 |
| 14 | 6 | 63/0 |
| 15 | 12 | 75/0 |
| 16 | 10 | 85/0 |
| 17 | 6 | 91/0 |
| 18 | 5 | 96/1 |
| 19 | 3 | 99/1 |
| 20 | 2 | 101/1 |
| 21 | 3 | 104/1 |
| 22 | 5 | 109/1 |
| 23 | 9 | 118/1 |
| 24 | 17 | 135/1 |
| 25 | 5 | 140/1 |
| 26 | 4 | 144/1 |
| 27 | 8 | 152/1 |
| 28 | 6 | 158/1 |
| 29 | 9 | 167/1 |
| 30 | 3 | 170/1 |
| 31 | 6 | 176/1 |
| 32 | 12 | 188/1 |
| 33 | 8 | 196/1 |
| 34 | 12 | 208/1 |
| 35 | 7 | 215/1 |
| 36 | 2 | 217/2 |
| 37 | 9 | 226/2 |
| 38 | 1 | 227/2 |
| 39 | 7 | 234/3 |
| 40 | 5 | 239/3 |
| 41 | 4 | 243/3 |
| 42 | 11 | 254/3 |
| 43 | 5 | 259/4 |
| 44 | 6 | 265/4 |
| 45 | 3 | 268/4 |
| 46 | 8 | 276/5 |
| 47 | 7 | 283/6 |
| 48 | 6 | 289/6 |
| 49 | 10 | 299/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
