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Photo: Rorser at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.5
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Ireland Tri-Nation Women's T20I Series · 2026 · Women
31 May 2026 · T20
Clontarf Cricket Club Ground, Dublin · Venue photographRecorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 26%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 0% to 71% during the match (Ireland: 29% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Huntercaught · Fatima Sana · Ayesha Zafar 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Fatima Sana · b Ayesha Zafar | 56 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 127.27 |
| Alana Dalzellcaught · Diana Baig · Rameen Shamim 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Diana Baig · b Rameen Shamim | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
| Rebecca Stokellnot out 7 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 60* | 42 | 7 | 0 | 142.86 |
| Orla Prendergastlbw · Ayesha Zafar 6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ayesha Zafar | 33 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 194.12 |
| Leah Paulnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Sana0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 6 | 0 |
| Diana Baig0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sadia Iqbal0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Rameen Shamim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nashra Sandhu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ayesha Zafar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Saira Jabeen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-44 (Alana Dalzell, 4.5) · 2-95 (Amy Hunter, 11.5) · 3-172 (Orla Prendergast, 18.3)
Recorded target: 177 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 25/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 37/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 43/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 45/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 54/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 63/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 68/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 75/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 80/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 87/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 95/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 102/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 111/2 |
| 15 | 13 | 124/2 |
| 16 | 12 | 136/2 |
| 17 | 18 | 154/2 |
| 18 | 15 | 169/2 |
| 19 | 7 | 176/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 177/3 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.