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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
4 Jul 2025 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Sussex started on 53%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 36% to 100% during the match (Kent: 0% to 64%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyebowled · James Coles 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b James Coles | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondcaught · Henry Crocombe · Danny Lamb3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Henry Crocombe · b Danny Lamb | 26 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 118.18 |
 Harry Finchcaught · Daniel Hughes · Henry Crocombe5 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Daniel Hughes · b Henry Crocombe | 56 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 215.38 |
 Joe Denlybowled · Danny Lamb0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Danny Lamb | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
 Sam Billingscaught · James Coles · Tymal Mills1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · James Coles · b Tymal Mills | 16 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 177.78 |
|---|
 Joey Evisoncaught · Ollie Robinson · Danny Lamb1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b Danny Lamb | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 91.67 |
|---|
 Jack Leaningbowled · Tymal Mills2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tymal Mills | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Tom Rogerscaught · Danny Lamb · Tymal Mills 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Danny Lamb · b Tymal Mills | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Fred Klaassenbowled · Danny Lamb 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Danny Lamb | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 84.62 |
|---|
| Nathan Gilchristbowled · Danny Lamb 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Danny Lamb | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Matt Parkinsonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ollie Robinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
| James Coles0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Henry Crocombe0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Danny Lamb0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 4.09 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Tawanda Muyeye, 1.4) · 2-82 (Harry Finch, 7.2) · 3-87 (Joe Denly, 8.3) · 4-107 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 10.2) · 5-118 (Sam Billings, 12.2) · 6-134 (Joey Evison, 14.4) · 7-145 (Jack Leaning, 16.3) · 8-146 (Tom Rogers, 17.0) · 9-160 (Nathan Gilchrist, 19.1) · 10-161 (Fred Klaassen, 19.4)
Recorded target: 196 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 13 | 42/1 |
| 6 | 26 | 68/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 78/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 85/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 91/3 |
| 10 | 14 | 105/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 110/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 117/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 121/5 |
| 14 | 12 | 133/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 136/6 |
| 16 | 8 | 144/6 |
| 17 | 2 | 146/8 |
| 18 | 9 | 155/8 |
| 19 | 5 | 160/8 |
| 20 | 1 | 161/10 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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