Peshawar ZalmiversusIslamabad United

26 Feb 2024 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Peshawar Zalmi won by 8 runs

Peshawar Zalmi20.0 overs201/5 Islamabad United20.0 overs193/9 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Peshawar Zalmi started on 52%; Peshawar Zalmi batted first.

Peshawar Zalmi’s chance of winning (%) · Islamabad United is the rest

Peshawar Zalmi's chances ranged from 14% to 97% during the match (Islamabad United: 3% to 86%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 18.1: Arif Yaqoob to C Munro, C Munro out. Peshawar Zalmi up from 16% to 33%.
2nd inns 18.3: Arif Yaqoob to Haider Ali, Haider Ali out. Peshawar Zalmi up from 40% to 65%.
2nd inns 18.5: Arif Yaqoob to Faheem Ashraf, Faheem Ashraf out. Peshawar Zalmi up from 72% to 89%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Islamabad United chose to field
Player of the match: Mohammad Babar Azam
match referees: Muhammad Javed
reserve umpires: Tariq Rasheed
tv umpires: Ahsan Raza
umpires: RK Illingworth, Shozab Raza

Match history & source

On 26 Feb 2024, Peshawar Zalmi played Islamabad United at Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore. Recorded result: Peshawar Zalmi won by 8 runs.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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