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India tour of Ireland · 2026 · Men
28 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 9%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 5% to 98% during the match (India: 2% to 95%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jai Moondra | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Abhishek Sharmacaught · Matt Hollard · Jai Moondra 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matt Hollard · b Jai Moondra | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ross Adair | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 109.09 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jai Moondra | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 142.86 |
3 fours · 1 sixes |
|---|
| caught · L McCarthy · b Matt Hollard |
| 55 |
| 46 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 119.57 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Matt Hollard | 14 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Dockrell · b Matthew Humphreys | 20 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Suryansh Shedgecaught · Tim Tector · Matt Hollard 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim Tector · b Matt Hollard | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Harshit Ranacaught · Tim Tector · Harry Tector 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tim Tector · b Harry Tector | 21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 210.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Prince Yadavnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 6* | 1 | 0 | 1 | 600.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai Moondra0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Humphreys0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Hollard0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| L McCarthy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 3 | 1 |
1-0 (Sanju Samson, 0.1) · 2-1 (Abhishek Sharma, 0.4) · 3-19 (Shreyas Iyer, 2.4) · 4-35 (Ishan Kishan, 4.5) · 5-74 (Axar Patel, 11.3) · 6-109 (Shivam Dube, 16.1) · 7-117 (Tilak Varma, 17.2) · 8-121 (Suryansh Shedge, 17.5) · 9-147 (Harshit Rana, 19.5)
Recorded target: 155 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | 13/2 |
| 3 | 8 | 21/3 |
| 4 | 4 | 25/3 |
| 5 | 14 | 39/4 |
| 6 | 2 | 41/4 |
| 7 | 7 | 48/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 54/4 |
| 9 | 7 | 61/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 66/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 71/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 77/5 |
| 13 | 8 | 85/5 |
| 14 | 10 | 95/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 104/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 109/5 |
| 17 | 2 | 111/6 |
| 18 | 10 | 121/8 |
| 19 | 14 | 135/8 |
| 20 | 18 | 153/9 |
Sanju Samson: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shivam Dube: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ishan Kishan: Tata Ipl 2022 · CC BY 3.0
George Dockrell: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Arshdeep Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shreyas Iyer: 247 Entertainment · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.