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Budapest Cup · 2025 · Men
25 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Hungary more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hungary started on 64%; Hungary batted first.
Hungary's chances ranged from 27% to 100% during the match (Luxembourg: 0% to 73%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy C. Barkercaught · V Ravindran · A Prashar 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · V Ravindran · b A Prashar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 180.00 |
| SKS Gillcaught · Zeeshan Kukikhel · Sadat Said 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zeeshan Kukikhel · b Sadat Said | 9 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| A Manepallicaught · Muhammad Burhan · Muhammad Saqlain 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Burhan · b Muhammad Saqlain | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mayank Nagayachcaught · Muhammad Usman (3) · Muhammad Saqlain 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Usman (3) · b Muhammad Saqlain | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| V Vijhrun out · V Ravindran · Muhammad Burhan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · V Ravindran | 14 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 56.00 |
| Anoop Orsubowled · Muhammad Burhan 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Burhan | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 266.67 |
|---|
| A Halbhavilbw · Sadat Said 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sadat Said | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| G Venkateswaranlbw · Muhammad Saqlain 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Muhammad Saqlain | 13 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Kamal Soukhiyacaught · Zeeshan Kukikhel · Muhammad Saqlain 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zeeshan Kukikhel · b Muhammad Saqlain | 10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Sareer Shahbowled · Muhammad Saqlain 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Saqlain | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Milad Momendnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Prashar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Saqlain0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 2.53 | 3 | 0 |
| Sadat Said0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 5.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Burhan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Amal Jacob0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-11 (Timothy C. Barker, 1.0) · 2-12 (A Manepalli, 2.0) · 3-16 (Mayank Nagayach, 3.1) · 4-30 (SKS Gill, 5.5) · 5-40 (Anoop Orsu, 6.4) · 6-46 (A Halbhavi, 8.0) · 7-53 (V Vijh, 10.2) · 8-74 (Kamal Soukhiya, 13.2) · 9-74 (Sareer Shah, 13.3) · 10-78 (G Venkateswaran, 15.1)
Recorded target: 149 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 12/2 |
| 3 | 4 | 16/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 22/3 |
| 5 | 1 | 23/3 |
| 6 | 9 | 32/4 |
| 7 | 9 | 41/5 |
| 8 | 5 | 46/6 |
| 9 | 1 | 47/6 |
| 10 | 6 | 53/6 |
| 11 | 1 | 54/7 |
| 12 | 11 | 65/7 |
| 13 | 9 | 74/7 |
| 14 | 1 | 75/9 |
| 15 | 3 | 78/9 |
| 16 | 0 | 78/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.