← Match centre Australia tour of South Africa 2026/27 →

**St George's Park, Gqeberha**
Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.

Australia tour of South Africa · 2026/27 · Men

South AfricaversusAustralia

18 Oct 2026 · Test

St George's Park, Gqeberha · Venue photograph

Recorded result

South Africa won by 31 runs

South Africa127.1 overs425/9d Australia42.3 overs99/10 Australia107.1 overs295/10 St George's Park, Gqeberha ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

South Africa more likely to win

50%South Africa10%Draw40%Australia

Why

South Africa are playing at home in South Africa
On results in Tests so far, Australia rate stronger than South Africa (1,759 vs 1,685 on our results rating)
In the last 10 Tests between these sides, Australia won 5 and South Africa won 4 (1 drawn)

Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.

Match highlights

All highlights →

1–1 of 4

South Africa level series in style! 🔥 | South Africa vs Australia | Day Five, Second Test

Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-22

Jansen on fire as Australia wickets tumble! 💥 | South Africa vs Australia | Day Four, Second Test

Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-21

Bavuma hits Test-best 179 | South Africa vs Australia | Day Three, Second Test

Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-20

Australia on top as Renshaw takes STUNNING catch! | South Africa vs Australia | Day Two, Second Test

Sky Sports Cricket · Uploaded 2026-10-19

South Africa425/9 Australia99/10 Australia295/10

Innings 2

Australia

99/1042.3 overs

Batting, bowling & fall of wickets

Australia batting
Batter	Dismissal	R	B	4s	6s	SR
Nic Maddinsoncaught · Simon Harmer · Kagiso Rabada 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Simon Harmer · b Kagiso Rabada	0	4	0	0	0.00
Travis Headlbw · Marco Jansen 3 fours · 0 sixes	lbw · b Marco Jansen	14	24	3	0	58.33
Scott Bolandcaught · Ryan Rickelton · Marco Jansen 0 fours · 0 sixes	caught · Ryan Rickelton · b Marco Jansen	2	14	0	0	14.29

Bowler	Overs	M	R	W	Runs / 6 balls	NB
Kagiso Rabada2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	12.0	2	33	2	2.75	0
Simon Harmer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	5.3	0	9	0	1.64	0
Aiden Markram1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	1.0	1	0	0	0.00	0
Marco Jansen2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	11.0	2	33	5	3.00	0
Anrich Nortje0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls	3.3	0	5	1	1.43	0
Wiaan Mulder3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls	9.3	3	14	2	1.47	1

Over / set	Runs	Score
1	0	0/1
2	1	1/1
3	0	1/1
4	2	3/1
5	8	11/1
6	0	11/2
7	4	15/2
8	4	19/2
9	3	22/2
10	1	23/3
11	6	29/3
12	8	37/3
13	5	42/3
14	3	45/4
15	1	46/4
16	1	47/4
17	0	47/4
18	1	48/4
19	2	50/4
20	2	52/4
21	1	53/4
22	1	54/4
23	1	55/4
24	1	56/4
25	2	58/4
26	3	61/4
27	0	61/4
28	2	63/4
29	2	65/4
30	0	65/6
31	1	66/6
32	1	67/6
33	2	69/6
34	4	73/6
35	0	73/6
36	5	78/6
37	6	84/6
38	1	85/7
39	0	85/7
40	7	92/7
41	5	97/8
42	1	98/9
43	1	99/10

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