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Photo: Barry Dogger
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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ICC Women's T20 World Cup · 2026 · Women
27 Jun 2026 · T20
County Ground, Bristol · Venue photographRecorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 37%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 8% to 100% during the match (Netherlands: 0% to 92%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Siegerslbw · Diana Baig 5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Diana Baig | 24 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 150.00 |
| P Molkenboerrun out · Eyman Fatima · Sadia Iqbal 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Eyman Fatima | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
| Babette de Leedebowled · Fatima Sana 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fatima Sana | 30 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 73.17 |
| Sterre Kalisbowled · Nashra Sandhu 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nashra Sandhu | 12 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 63.16 |
| Robine Rijkelbw · Ayesha Zafar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ayesha Zafar | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 54.55 |
| S Khuranastumped · Muneeba Ali · Ayesha Zafar0 fours · 0 sixes |
| stumped · Muneeba Ali · b Ayesha Zafar |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Frederique Overdijkcaught · Saira Jabeen · Ayesha Zafar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saira Jabeen · b Ayesha Zafar | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Iris Zwillingrun out · Muneeba Ali, Ayesha Zafar · Ayesha Zafar 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Muneeba Ali, Ayesha Zafar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Hannah Landheernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Silver Siegersbowled · Fatima Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fatima Sana | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Caroline de Langebowled · Fatima Sana 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fatima Sana | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadia Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Fatima Sana1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Diana Baig0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nashra Sandhu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Tuba Hassan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Ayesha Zafar1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-31 (Heather Siegers, 3.3) · 2-35 (P Molkenboer, 4.5) · 3-54 (Sterre Kalis, 10.1) · 4-76 (Robine Rijke, 14.1) · 5-76 (S Khurana, 14.4) · 6-88 (Frederique Overdijk, 16.2) · 7-89 (Iris Zwilling, 17.0) · 8-89 (Babette de Leede, 17.2) · 9-89 (Silver Siegers, 17.3) · 10-89 (Caroline de Lange, 18.0)
Recorded target: 127 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 23/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 34/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 35/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 39/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 40/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 47/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 51/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 54/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 57/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 63/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 71/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 76/3 |
| 15 | 0 | 76/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 84/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 89/7 |
| 18 | 0 | 89/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.