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Photo: user:jguk
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
31 May 2026 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 60%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 0% to 61% during the match (Kent: 39% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 64* | 42 | 8 | 1 | 152.38 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tom Lawes | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 77.78 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Curran · b Reece Topley | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
6 fours · 0 sixes | not out |
| 28 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 150.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tom Lawes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Yousef Majid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-26 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 3.3) · 2-29 (Zak Crawley, 4.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 37/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 46/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 55/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 62/2 |
| 10 | 14 | 76/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 82/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 90/2 |
| 13 | 13 | 103/2 |
| 14 | 15 | 118/2 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.