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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026 · Men
11 Aug 2026 · ODI
Forthill, Dundee · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 46%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YS Samracaught · Adeeb Usmani · Muhammad Arfan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adeeb Usmani · b Muhammad Arfan | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Aaron Johnsoncaught · Muhammad Shahdad · Rahul Chopra 7 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Muhammad Shahdad · b Rahul Chopra | 70 | 73 | 7 | 4 | 95.89 |
| Matthew Spoorscaught · Harpreet Singh · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harpreet Singh · b Junaid Siddique | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| AS Chimacaught · Rahul Chopra · Muhammad Arfan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Muhammad Arfan | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 30.77 |
| Shreyas Movvacaught · Adeeb Usmani · Muhammad Jawadullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adeeb Usmani · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 0 | 5 | 0 |
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 24% to 100% during the match (Canada: 0% to 76%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Nicholas Kirtonretired hurt · Rahul Chopra 0 fours · 0 sixes | retired hurt | 3* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Ansh Patelrun out · Akshdeep Nath · Akshdeep Nath 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Akshdeep Nath | 6 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 30.00 |
|---|
 Saad Bin Zafarcaught · Adeeb Usmani · Muhammad Jawadullah3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adeeb Usmani · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 20 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Kaleem Sanacaught · Adeeb Usmani · Muhammad Jawadullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adeeb Usmani · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Zahid Shirzadcaught · Harpreet Singh · Aayan Afzal Khan 4 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Harpreet Singh · b Aayan Afzal Khan | 54 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 207.69 |
|---|
| Ali Shamsher Khannot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 11 | 1 | 0 | 45.45 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 6.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Muhammad Arfan0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 4.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 36 | 3 | 5.14 | 3 | 0 |
| Aayan Afzal Khan3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.4 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 2.61 | 0 | 0 |
| Akshdeep Nath0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 55 | 0 | 9.17 | 3 | 0 |
| Rahul Chopra0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (YS Samra, 1.5) · 2-20 (Matthew Spoors, 3.0) · 3-40 (AS Chima, 7.4) · 4-41 (Shreyas Movva, 8.5) · 5-61 (Ansh Patel, 14.1) · 6-111 (Saad Bin Zafar, 24.5) · 7-111 (Kaleem Sana, 25.0) · 8-122 (Aaron Johnson, 27.3) · 9-185 (Zahid Shirzad, 33.4)
Recorded target: 283 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 20/2 |
| 4 | 14 | 34/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 39/2 |
| 7 | 0 | 39/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 40/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 46/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 51/4 |
| 11 | 2 | 53/4 |
| 12 | 0 | 53/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 61/4 |
| 14 | 0 | 61/4 |
| 15 | 1 | 62/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 69/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 77/5 |
| 18 | 1 | 78/5 |
| 19 | 5 | 83/5 |
| 20 | 0 | 83/5 |
| 21 | 6 | 89/5 |
| 22 | 7 | 96/5 |
| 23 | 6 | 102/5 |
| 24 | 3 | 105/5 |
| 25 | 6 | 111/7 |
| 26 | 9 | 120/7 |
| 27 | 1 | 121/7 |
| 28 | 6 | 127/8 |
| 29 | 13 | 140/8 |
| 30 | 3 | 143/8 |
| 31 | 29 | 172/8 |
| 32 | 2 | 174/8 |
| 33 | 3 | 177/8 |
| 34 | 8 | 185/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
