Multan SultansversusKarachi Kings

12 Apr 2025 · T20

National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Karachi Kings won by 4 wickets

Multan Sultans20.0 overs234/3 Karachi Kings19.2 overs236/6 National Stadium, Karachi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Multan Sultans started on 57%; Multan Sultans batted first.

Multan Sultans’s chance of winning (%) · Karachi Kings is the rest

Multan Sultans's chances ranged from 5% to 97% during the match (Karachi Kings: 3% to 95%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.6: CJ Jordan to Khushdil Shah, six by Khushdil Shah. Karachi Kings up from 30% to 48%.
2nd inns 16.2: Akif Javed to JM Vince, six by JM Vince. Karachi Kings up from 49% to 65%.
2nd inns 19.2: CJ Jordan to Abbas Afridi, six by Abbas Afridi. Karachi Kings up from 88% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.