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Germany tour of Denmark · 2026 · Men
19 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Germany more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Germany started on 71%; Germany batted first.
Germany's chances ranged from 0% to 90% during the match (Denmark: 10% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musa Shaheencaught · Fayaz Khan · Muslim Yar 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fayaz Khan · b Muslim Yar | 33 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Hamid Shahcaught · Joshua van Heerden · Nooruddin Mujadady 5 fours · 7 sixes | caught · Joshua van Heerden · b Nooruddin Mujadady | 83 | 38 | 5 | 7 | 218.42 |
| Sebastian Heathnot out 4 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 61* | 34 | 4 | 4 | 179.41 |
| Saif Ahmadcaught · Nooruddin Mujadady · Joshua van Heerden 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nooruddin Mujadady · b Joshua van Heerden | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Taranjit Bharajnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sajid Liaqat0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.1 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 12.92 | 1 | 0 |
| Nooruddin Mujadady0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 53 | 1 | 13.25 | 0 | 0 |
| V Jatinder Kumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Shahid Afridi (2)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Muslim Yar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Joshua van Heerden0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-86 (Musa Shaheen, 8.5) · 2-154 (Hamid Shah, 15.4) · 3-162 (Saif Ahmad, 16.3)
Recorded target: 188 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 18 | 36/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 49/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 57/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 67/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 72/0 |
| 8 | 11 | 83/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 87/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 93/1 |
| 11 | 3 | 96/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 100/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 108/1 |
| 14 | 24 | 132/1 |
| 15 | 14 | 146/1 |
| 16 | 10 | 156/2 |
| 17 | 10 | 166/3 |
| 18 | 17 | 183/3 |
| 19 | 3 | 186/3 |
| 20 | 6 | 192/3 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.