Noakhali ExpressversusRajshahi Warriors

8 Jan 2026 · T20

Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Rajshahi Warriors won by 4 wickets

Noakhali Express20.0 overs151/5 Rajshahi Warriors19.0 overs152/6 Sylhet International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Noakhali Express started on 41%; Noakhali Express batted first.

Noakhali Express’s chance of winning (%) · Rajshahi Warriors is the rest

Noakhali Express's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Rajshahi Warriors: 42% to 100%).

Biggest swings

7.5: R Mondol to Shahadat Hossain, Shahadat Hossain out. Rajshahi Warriors up from 42% to 51%.
12.1: Nazmul Hossain Shanto to Maaz Sadaqat, Maaz Sadaqat out. Rajshahi Warriors up from 48% to 55%.
2nd inns 6.2: Mehedi Hasan Rana to Nazmul Hossain Shanto, Nazmul Hossain Shanto out. Noakhali Express up from 14% to 22%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Noakhali Express151/5 Rajshahi Warriors152/6

Innings 1