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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
16 Jun 2024 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 37%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 36% to 99% during the match (Lancashire: 1% to 64%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wellscaught · Paul Coughlin · Ashton Turner 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Paul Coughlin · b Ashton Turner | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 128.57 |
| Josh Bohannonbowled · Callum Parkinson 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Callum Parkinson | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Keaton Jenningscaught · BS McKinney · Nathan Sowter 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · BS McKinney · b Nathan Sowter | 26 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 136.84 |
| Matthew Hurstcaught and bowled · Paul Coughlin 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Paul Coughlin | 32 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 188.24 |
| Tom Brucebowled · Callum Parkinson 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Callum Parkinson | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 105.88 |
| caught · Ashton Turner · b Callum Parkinson |
| 9 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 112.50 |
 Chris Greencaught · Graham Clark · Ben Raine4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Graham Clark · b Ben Raine | 38 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 211.11 |
|---|
| George Baldersonnot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 37* | 23 | 4 | 0 | 160.87 |
|---|
| Jack Blatherwickbowled · Paul Coughlin 0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Paul Coughlin | 17 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 212.50 |
|---|
 Luke Woodnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 13 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 55 | 0 | 13.75 | 8 | 0 |
 Ashton Turner0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 13.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Ben Raine0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Paul Coughlin0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 45 | 2 | 15.00 | 0 | 2 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Josh Bohannon, 0.4) · 2-28 (Luke Wells, 2.3) · 3-74 (Matthew Hurst, 6.4) · 4-90 (Keaton Jennings, 9.1) · 5-98 (Tom Bruce, 10.4) · 6-115 (Steven Croft, 12.1) · 7-177 (Chris Green, 17.3) · 8-210 (Jack Blatherwick, 19.3)
Recorded target: 219 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 13 | 20/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 33/2 |
| 4 | 9 | 42/2 |
| 5 | 13 | 55/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 63/2 |
| 7 | 11 | 74/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 82/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 90/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 94/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 100/5 |
| 12 | 15 | 115/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 120/6 |
| 14 | 12 | 132/6 |
| 15 | 16 | 148/6 |
| 16 | 10 | 158/6 |
| 17 | 17 | 175/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 182/7 |
| 19 | 16 | 198/7 |
| 20 | 18 | 216/8 |
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Steven Croft: AMBerry · CC BY-SA 3.0
Paul Coughlin: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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