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Asian Games Men's Qualifier · 2026 · Men
2 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
China started on 6%; China batted first.
China's chances ranged from 0% to 6% during the match (Malaysia: 94% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Du Jianyaobowled · Pavandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pavandeep Singh | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Du Jianhaolbw · Syed Aziz 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Syed Aziz | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ma Qianchenglbw · Vijay Unni 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Vijay Unni | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
| Tian Sen Qunlbw · Pavandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Pavandeep Singh | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Zong Yuechaobowled · Vijay Unni 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Vijay Unni | 29 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 56.86 |
| Shenjian Zhengcaught · Aslam Khan · Vijay Unni0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Aslam Khan · b Vijay Unni |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
| Yang Wangjiecaught · Aslam Khan · Virandeep Singh 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aslam Khan · b Virandeep Singh | 18 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 81.82 |
|---|
| Deng Jinqibowled · Vijay Unni 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Vijay Unni | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Chen Zhuo Yuenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Qi Shuairun out · Vijay Unni · Vijay Unni 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Vijay Unni | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 7 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syed Aziz0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Pavandeep Singh0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Vijay Unni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Rahim Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Azri Azhar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Virandeep Singh0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 3 | 0 |
1-2 (Du Jianhao, 1.0) · 2-2 (Du Jianyao, 1.1) · 3-2 (Tian Sen Qun, 1.2) · 4-21 (Ma Qiancheng, 6.2) · 5-30 (Shenjian Zheng, 8.2) · 6-66 (Yang Wangjie, 16.2) · 7-71 (Zong Yuechao, 17.5) · 8-81 (Deng Jinqi, 19.2) · 9-84 (Qi Shuai, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 3/3 |
| 3 | 2 | 5/3 |
| 4 | 11 | 16/3 |
| 5 | 1 | 17/3 |
| 6 | 4 | 21/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 22/4 |
| 8 | 7 | 29/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 32/5 |
| 10 | 2 | 34/5 |
| 11 | 6 | 40/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 43/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 49/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 52/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 55/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 66/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 69/6 |
| 18 | 2 | 71/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 81/7 |
| 20 | 3 | 84/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.