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Hong Kong Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2026 · Women
7 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
China more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 34%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 13% to 99% during the match (China: 1% to 88%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winifred Duraisingamstumped · J Chunquin · M Zhu 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · J Chunquin · b M Zhu | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
| Nazatul Hidayah Husnabowled · Ma Ruike 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ma Ruike | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
| Mas Elysahit wicket · Zhao Yihan 0 fours · 0 sixes | hit wicket · b Zhao Yihan | 11 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 44.00 |
| Mahirah Ismailcaught and bowled · Zhao Yihan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Zhao Yihan | 10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Nurin Imaninacaught · Wei Haiting · M Zhu 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wei Haiting · b M Zhu | 12 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
| run out · J Chunquin |
| 13 |
| 14 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 92.86 |
| Nur Dania Syuhadarun out · Chen Xinyu, J Chunquin · Ma Ruike 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Chen Xinyu, J Chunquin | 8 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| Nur Arianna Natsyarun out · Wang Huiying, J Chunquin · Jiaping Li 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Wang Huiying, J Chunquin | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Aisya Eleesanot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Aina Najwanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 13 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ma Ruike0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 4 | 0 |
| M Zhu0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 3 | 1 |
| Wang Huiying0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Jiaping Li1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Zhao Yihan0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 3.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Cai Yuzhi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Nazatul Hidayah Husna, 3.0) · 2-10 (Winifred Duraisingam, 3.2) · 3-32 (Mahirah Ismail, 8.5) · 4-37 (Mas Elysa, 11.0) · 5-53 (Nurin Imanina, 13.4) · 6-73 (Dhanusri Muhunan, 17.3) · 7-78 (Nur Dania Syuhada, 18.2) · 8-87 (Nur Arianna Natsya, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 13/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 17/2 |
| 6 | 0 | 17/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 23/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 29/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 32/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 36/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 37/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 44/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 50/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 53/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 60/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 67/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 73/5 |
| 18 | 2 | 75/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 84/7 |
| 20 | 7 | 91/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.