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Hong Kong Women's T20I Tri-Series · 2026 · Women
7 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
China more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Malaysia started on 34%; Malaysia batted first.
Malaysia's chances ranged from 13% to 99% during the match (China: 1% to 88%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wei Haitingcaught · Mas Elysa · Aisya Eleesa 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mas Elysa · b Aisya Eleesa | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Jiaping Licaught · Nurin Imanina · Nur Dania Syuhada 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nurin Imanina · b Nur Dania Syuhada | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| Cai Yuzhirun out · Nur Dania Syuhada · Nurin Imanina 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nur Dania Syuhada | 15 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 51.72 |
| M Zhucaught · Mahirah Ismail · Nurin Imanina 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mahirah Ismail · b Nurin Imanina | 16 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 53.33 |
| Wang Huiyingcaught and bowled · Nurin Imanina 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nurin Imanina | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught and bowled · b Nurin Imanina |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Ma Ruikebowled · Mas Elysa 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mas Elysa | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| F Qiancaught and bowled · Nurin Imanina 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nurin Imanina | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Chen Xinyurun out · Mas Elysa, Aina Najwa · Mahirah Ismail 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Mas Elysa, Aina Najwa | 10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 76.92 |
|---|
| Zhao Yihanbowled · Mas Elysa 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mas Elysa | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| J Chunquinnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aisya Eleesa0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Nur Dania Syuhada1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Mahirah Ismail0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Dhanusri Muhunan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nurin Imanina0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Mas Elysa0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 2 | 0 |
1-5 (Jiaping Li, 1.5) · 2-6 (Wei Haiting, 2.2) · 3-40 (Cai Yuzhi, 11.1) · 4-41 (Wang Huiying, 11.3) · 5-41 (Gong Yuting, 11.4) · 6-50 (M Zhu, 13.1) · 7-52 (Ma Ruike, 14.1) · 8-59 (F Qian, 16.0) · 9-64 (Zhao Yihan, 17.0) · 10-65 (Chen Xinyu, 17.1)
Recorded target: 92 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 9/2 |
| 4 | 0 | 9/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 11/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 12/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 20/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 29/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 34/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 37/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 40/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 42/5 |
| 13 | 8 | 50/5 |
| 14 | 2 | 52/6 |
| 15 | 1 | 53/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 59/8 |
| 17 | 5 | 64/9 |
| 18 | 1 | 65/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.