OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Sachintha Wijayatunga
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Sri Lanka Women's ODI Tri-Series · 2025 · Women
29 Apr 2025 · ODI
R Premadasa Stadium, Colombo · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 58%; India batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pratika Rawalbowled · Nonkululeko Mlaba 7 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 78 | 91 | 7 | 1 | 85.71 |
 Smriti Mandhanacaught · Karabo Meso · Annerie Dercksen5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karabo Meso · b Annerie Dercksen | 36 | 54 | 5 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Harleen Deolbowled · Nonkululeko Mlaba 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 29 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 61.70 |
 Harmanpreet Kaurnot out4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 41* | 48 | 4 | 0 | 85.42 |
 |
India's chances ranged from 35% to 99% during the match (South Africa: 1% to 65%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Ayabonga Khaka · b Masabata Klaas |
| 41 |
| 32 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 128.13 |
 Richa Ghoshcaught · Suné Luus · Ayabonga Khaka3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Suné Luus · b Ayabonga Khaka | 24 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 171.43 |
|---|
 Deepti Sharmacaught · Chloe Tryon · Nadine de Klerk1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chloe Tryon · b Nadine de Klerk | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Kashvee Gautamnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ayabonga Khaka1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 42 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Masabata Klaas1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 43 | 1 | 4.78 | 3 | 0 |
| Suné Luus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nadine de Klerk1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 39 | 1 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Nonkululeko Mlaba0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 55 | 2 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Annerie Dercksen0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 13.33 | 8 | 0 |
 Chloe Tryon0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 4.71 | 1 | 0 |
1-83 (Smriti Mandhana, 18.3) · 2-151 (Pratika Rawal, 30.4) · 3-154 (Harleen Deol, 32.3) · 4-213 (Jemimah Rodrigues, 42.1) · 5-247 (Richa Ghosh, 45.5) · 6-259 (Deepti Sharma, 47.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 15/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 18/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 18/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 18/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 28/0 |
| 9 | 10 | 38/0 |
| 10 | 5 | 43/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 45/0 |
| 12 | 5 | 50/0 |
| 13 | 3 | 53/0 |
| 14 | 4 | 57/0 |
| 15 | 6 | 63/0 |
| 16 | 5 | 68/0 |
| 17 | 3 | 71/0 |
| 18 | 4 | 75/0 |
| 19 | 19 | 94/1 |
| 20 | 3 | 97/1 |
| 21 | 2 | 99/1 |
| 22 | 10 | 109/1 |
| 23 | 5 | 114/1 |
| 24 | 5 | 119/1 |
| 25 | 4 | 123/1 |
| 26 | 6 | 129/1 |
| 27 | 2 | 131/1 |
| 28 | 8 | 139/1 |
| 29 | 6 | 145/1 |
| 30 | 3 | 148/1 |
| 31 | 5 | 153/2 |
| 32 | 0 | 153/2 |
| 33 | 2 | 155/3 |
| 34 | 3 | 158/3 |
| 35 | 5 | 163/3 |
| 36 | 4 | 167/3 |
| 37 | 2 | 169/3 |
| 38 | 4 | 173/3 |
| 39 | 5 | 178/3 |
| 40 | 17 | 195/3 |
| 41 | 9 | 204/3 |
| 42 | 9 | 213/3 |
| 43 | 9 | 222/4 |
| 44 | 11 | 233/4 |
| 45 | 6 | 239/4 |
| 46 | 9 | 248/5 |
| 47 | 5 | 253/5 |
| 48 | 7 | 260/6 |
| 49 | 13 | 273/6 |
| 50 | 3 | 276/6 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ayabonga Khaka: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nonkululeko Mlaba: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Chloe Tryon: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}