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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
21 Jun 2024 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Nottinghamshire started on 51%; Nottinghamshire batted first.
Nottinghamshire's chances ranged from 16% to 98% during the match (Derbyshire: 2% to 85%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Lloydcaught · Jack Haynes · Oli Stone 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Haynes · b Oli Stone | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Matthew Montgomery · Liam Patterson-White3 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Matthew Montgomery · b Liam Patterson-White | 52 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 200.00 |
 Cam Fletchercaught · BJR Martindale · Lyndon James2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · BJR Martindale · b Lyndon James | 29 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 126.09 |
 Zak Chappellbowled · Liam Patterson-White0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Liam Patterson-White |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Wayne Madsencaught · Calvin Harrison · Benjamin Lister3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Calvin Harrison · b Benjamin Lister | 40 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 114.29 |
|---|
 Ross Whiteleycaught · Lyndon James · Benjamin Lister0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Lyndon James · b Benjamin Lister | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 111.11 |
|---|
 Samit Patelbowled · Oli Stone0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Oli Stone | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Brooke Guestcaught · BJR Martindale · Lyndon James0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · BJR Martindale · b Lyndon James | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
 Alex Thomsonnot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 9* | 5 | 0 | 1 | 180.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Lister0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Montgomery0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Calvin Harrison0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Lyndon James0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-18 (David Lloyd, 2.4) · 2-74 (Aneurin Donald, 7.1) · 3-74 (Zak Chappell, 7.3) · 4-107 (Cam Fletcher, 12.5) · 5-140 (Ross Whiteley, 16.2) · 6-145 (Samit Patel, 17.2) · 7-151 (Wayne Madsen, 18.1) · 8-165 (Brooke Guest, 20.0)
Recorded target: 174 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 15 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 27 | 70/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 74/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 76/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 80/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 87/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 93/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 98/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 107/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 114/4 |
| 15 | 14 | 128/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 139/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 143/5 |
| 18 | 8 | 151/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 155/7 |
| 20 | 10 | 165/8 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brooke Guest: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Cam Fletcher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Hales: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Thomson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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