Chittagong KingsversusSylhet Strikers

30 Jan 2025 · T20

Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Chittagong Kings won by 96 runs

Chittagong Kings20.0 overs196/8 Sylhet Strikers15.2 overs100/10 Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Chittagong Kings started on 57%; Chittagong Kings batted first.

Chittagong Kings’s chance of winning (%) · Sylhet Strikers is the rest

Chittagong Kings's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Sylhet Strikers: 0% to 57%).

Biggest swings

0.6: Tanzim Hasan Sakib to Parvez Hossain Emon, Parvez Hossain Emon out. Sylhet Strikers up from 43% to 54%.
2.3: Tanzim Hasan Sakib to G Clark, G Clark out. Sylhet Strikers up from 46% to 57%.
14.5: Sumon Khan to Rahatul Ferdous, Rahatul Ferdous out. Sylhet Strikers up from 25% to 31%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.