Sri LankaversusWest Indies

26 Jun 2024 · T20

Recorded result

West Indies won by 6 wickets

Sri Lanka15.2 overs89/4 West Indies14.1 overs99/4 Mahinda Rajapaksa International Cricket Stadium, Sooriyawewa, Hambantota ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Sri Lanka more likely to win

69%Sri Lanka31%West Indies

Why

On results in T20 internationals so far, Sri Lanka rate stronger than West Indies (1,703 vs 1,532 on our results rating)
In the last 10 T20 internationals between these sides, West Indies won 8 and Sri Lanka won 2
Sri Lanka are playing at home in Sri Lanka

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.