Royal Challengers BengaluruversusMumbai Indians

21 Feb 2025 · T20

M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Mumbai Indians won by 4 wickets

Royal Challengers Bengaluru20.0 overs167/7 Mumbai Indians19.5 overs170/6 M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Royal Challengers Bengaluru started on 48%; Royal Challengers Bengaluru batted first.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru’s chance of winning (%) · Mumbai Indians is the rest

Royal Challengers Bengaluru's chances ranged from 16% to 71% during the match (Mumbai Indians: 29% to 84%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.6: E Bisht to H Kaur, six by H Kaur. Mumbai Indians up from 53% to 76%.
2nd inns 18.1: KS Ahuja to AB Kaur, six by AB Kaur. Mumbai Indians up from 43% to 70%.
2nd inns 18.6: KS Ahuja to AB Kaur, six by AB Kaur. Mumbai Indians up from 48% to 84%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru167/7 Mumbai Indians170/6

Innings 1