OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Younisjunejo
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Pakistan Tri-Nation Series · 2024/25 · Men
8 Feb 2025 · ODI
Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photographRecorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
New Zealand started on 25%; New Zealand batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fakhar Zamanlbw · Glenn Phillips7 fours · 4 sixes | lbw · b Glenn Phillips | 84 | 69 | 7 | 4 | 121.74 |
 Mohammad Babar Azamcaught · Glenn Phillips · Michael Bracewell1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Phillips · b Michael Bracewell | 10 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 43.48 |
| Kamran Ghulamcaught · Will Young · Mitchell Santner 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Mitchell Santner | 18 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 56.25 |
 Mohammad Rizwanlbw · Mitchell Santner0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mitchell Santner | 3 |
New Zealand's chances ranged from 15% to 100% during the match (Pakistan: 0% to 85%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 27.27 |
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Daryl Mitchell · Michael Bracewell 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Daryl Mitchell · b Michael Bracewell | 40 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 78.43 |
|---|
| Tayyab Tahircaught · Michael Bracewell · Matt Henry 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael Bracewell · b Matt Henry | 30 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 103.45 |
|---|
| Khushdil Shahstumped · Tom Latham · Mitchell Santner 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Tom Latham · b Mitchell Santner | 15 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Shaheen Afridicaught · NG Smith · Matt Henry1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · NG Smith · b Matt Henry | 10 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
 Naseem Shahcaught · Tom Latham · Matt Henry0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Matt Henry | 13 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 56.52 |
|---|
 Abrar Ahmednot out4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 15 | 4 | 0 | 153.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Henry0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.5 | 0 | 53 | 3 | 5.39 | 1 | 0 |
 William O’Rourke0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 7.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Michael Bracewell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 4.10 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Sears0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner2 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 41 | 3 | 4.10 | 2 | 0 |
| Glenn Phillips0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Rachin Ravindra0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-52 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 10.0) · 2-103 (Kamran Ghulam, 19.0) · 3-117 (Mohammad Rizwan, 22.1) · 4-119 (Fakhar Zaman, 23.4) · 5-172 (Tayyab Tahir, 33.1) · 6-205 (Khushdil Shah, 38.4) · 7-205 (Salman Ali Agha, 39.1) · 8-222 (Shaheen Afridi, 43.4) · 9-252 (Naseem Shah, 47.5)
Absent hurt: Haris Rauf
Recorded target: 331 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 21/0 |
| 6 | 15 | 36/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 39/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 46/0 |
| 9 | 2 | 48/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 52/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 57/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 59/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 67/1 |
| 14 | 8 | 75/1 |
| 15 | 11 | 86/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 89/1 |
| 17 | 0 | 89/1 |
| 18 | 5 | 94/1 |
| 19 | 9 | 103/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 104/2 |
| 21 | 8 | 112/2 |
| 22 | 5 | 117/2 |
| 23 | 1 | 118/3 |
| 24 | 2 | 120/4 |
| 25 | 3 | 123/4 |
| 26 | 7 | 130/4 |
| 27 | 0 | 130/4 |
| 28 | 9 | 139/4 |
| 29 | 7 | 146/4 |
| 30 | 8 | 154/4 |
| 31 | 6 | 160/4 |
| 32 | 8 | 168/4 |
| 33 | 4 | 172/4 |
| 34 | 7 | 179/5 |
| 35 | 4 | 183/5 |
| 36 | 9 | 192/5 |
| 37 | 6 | 198/5 |
| 38 | 6 | 204/5 |
| 39 | 1 | 205/6 |
| 40 | 3 | 208/7 |
| 41 | 6 | 214/7 |
| 42 | 4 | 218/7 |
| 43 | 2 | 220/7 |
| 44 | 3 | 223/8 |
| 45 | 9 | 232/8 |
| 46 | 3 | 235/8 |
| 47 | 4 | 239/8 |
| 48 | 13 | 252/9 |
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Naseem Shah: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Fakhar Zaman: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Abrar Ahmed: Nazly Ahmed · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
