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Photo: G patkar
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Indian Premier League · 2026 · Men
24 May 2026 · T20
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
Rajasthan Royals started on 47%; Rajasthan Royals batted first.
Rajasthan Royals's chances ranged from 32% to 100% during the match (Mumbai Indians: 0% to 68%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rohit Sharmacaught · Dhruv Jurel · Jofra Archer0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Jofra Archer | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · Vaibhav Suryavanshi · Nandre Burger1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Vaibhav Suryavanshi · b Nandre Burger | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 171.43 |
| Naman Dhirbowled · Jofra Archer 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jofra Archer | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
 Suryakumar Yadavcaught and bowled · Nandre Burger3 fours · 4 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nandre Burger |
| 60 |
| 42 |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 142.86 |
 Tilak Varmabowled · Brijesh Sharma0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Brijesh Sharma | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
 Will Jackscaught · Dhruv Jurel · Yash Raj Punja3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Dhruv Jurel · b Yash Raj Punja | 33 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 183.33 |
|---|
 Hardik Pandyacaught · Nandre Burger · Jofra Archer3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Nandre Burger · b Jofra Archer | 34 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 226.67 |
|---|
| Corbin Boschcaught · Donavon Ferreira · Yash Raj Punja 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Donavon Ferreira · b Yash Raj Punja | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Shardul Thakurnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 11 | 1 | 0 | 90.91 |
|---|
 Deepak Chaharlbw · Brijesh Sharma0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Brijesh Sharma | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Allah Mohammad Ghazanfarnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jofra Archer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Nandre Burger0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 10.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Brijesh Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 1 |
 Ravindra Jadeja0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Yash Raj Punja0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Dasun Shanaka0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Rohit Sharma, 0.4) · 2-18 (Naman Dhir, 2.3) · 3-24 (Ryan Rickelton, 3.2) · 4-38 (Tilak Varma, 5.1) · 5-101 (Will Jacks, 11.3) · 6-149 (Hardik Pandya, 15.4) · 7-152 (Corbin Bosch, 16.3) · 8-158 (Suryakumar Yadav, 17.3) · 9-167 (Deepak Chahar, 18.3)
Recorded target: 206 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 12 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 23/2 |
| 4 | 12 | 35/3 |
| 5 | 3 | 38/3 |
| 6 | 11 | 49/4 |
| 7 | 10 | 59/4 |
| 8 | 8 | 67/4 |
| 9 | 14 | 81/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 90/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 94/4 |
| 12 | 22 | 116/5 |
| 13 | 15 | 131/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 139/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 147/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 150/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 155/7 |
| 18 | 11 | 166/8 |
| 19 | 3 | 169/9 |
| 20 | 6 | 175/9 |
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hardik Pandya: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Suryakumar Yadav: Kolkata Knight Riders - Official · CC BY 3.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Deepak Chahar: G. D. GOENKA SCHOOL, AGRA · CC BY 3.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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