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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier A · 2026/27 · Men
8 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Myanmar started on 9%; Myanmar batted first.
Myanmar's chances ranged from 0% to 10% during the match (Bahrain: 91% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Htet Lin Oorun out · P Kurup, Ahmer Bin Nasir · Ali Dawood 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · P Kurup, Ahmer Bin Nasir | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Paing Danubowled · Imran Anwar 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Imran Anwar | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Ko Ko Lin Thubowled · Abdul Majeed 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Abdul Majeed | 17 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 89.47 |
| Pyae Phyo Waicaught · Shujaat Rasool · Abdul Majeed 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shujaat Rasool · b Abdul Majeed | 23 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 56.10 |
| Khin Ayebowled · Shujaat Rasool 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shujaat Rasool | 15 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 44.12 |
| bowled · b Shujaat Rasool |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| Nay Lin Htikebowled · Abdul Majeed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Abdul Majeed | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Nyein Cham Soebowled · Abdul Majeed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Abdul Majeed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Aung Ko Kolbw · Abdul Majeed 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Abdul Majeed | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Kyaw Zin Linnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Kaung Htet Kyawnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dawood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Anwar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Abdul Majeed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 5 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Shaikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Asif Javed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shujaat Rasool0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Htet Lin Oo, 0.4) · 2-13 (Paing Danu, 3.5) · 3-23 (Ko Ko Lin Thu, 4.5) · 4-61 (Pyae Phyo Wai, 15.4) · 5-62 (Sai Hla Htwe, 16.1) · 6-67 (Nay Lin Htike, 17.3) · 7-67 (Nyein Cham Soe, 17.4) · 8-67 (Aung Ko Ko, 17.5) · 9-67 (Khin Aye, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 13/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 23/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 25/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 31/3 |
| 8 | 1 | 32/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 36/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 43/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 46/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 50/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 53/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 54/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 55/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 62/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 65/5 |
| 18 | 2 | 67/8 |
| 19 | 1 | 68/9 |
| 20 | 2 | 70/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.