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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
9 Jul 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Hove · Venue photographRecorded result
Sussex started on 59%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 8% to 93% during the match (Kent: 7% to 92%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wardlbw · Tom Rogers 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Tom Rogers | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 90.91 |
| Daniel Hughescaught · Harry Finch · Nathan Gilchrist 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Finch · b Nathan Gilchrist | 14 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 93.33 |
| Tom Clarkcaught · Harry Finch · Jack Leaning 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Finch · b Jack Leaning | 29 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 145.00 |
| James Colesbowled · Nathan Gilchrist 1 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Nathan Gilchrist | 24 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 171.43 |
 Tom Alsopcaught · Nathan Gilchrist0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · b Nathan Gilchrist | 0 | 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| John Simpsoncaught · Joe Denly · Joey Evison 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Denly · b Joey Evison | 13 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 86.67 |
|---|
| Danny Lambcaught · Chris Benjamin · Fred Klaassen 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Benjamin · b Fred Klaassen | 18 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Nathan McAndrewcaught and bowled · Fred Klaassen 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Fred Klaassen | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 142.86 |
|---|
 Ollie Robinsoncaught · Harry Finch · Nathan Gilchrist4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Finch · b Nathan Gilchrist | 27 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 192.86 |
|---|
 Tymal Millsrun out · Nathan Gilchrist · Nathan Gilchrist0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Nathan Gilchrist | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Henry Crocombenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Klaassen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Gilchrist0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 42 | 4 | 10.96 | 2 | 0 |
 Joe Denly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Joey Evison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack Leaning0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Harrison Ward, 2.0) · 2-29 (Daniel Hughes, 5.0) · 3-78 (James Coles, 9.4) · 4-78 (Tom Alsop, 9.5) · 5-80 (Tom Clark, 10.3) · 6-106 (John Simpson, 15.4) · 7-118 (Danny Lamb, 16.5) · 8-134 (Nathan McAndrew, 18.5) · 9-148 (Tymal Mills, 19.4) · 10-148 (Ollie Robinson, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 21/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 29/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 38/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 46/2 |
| 8 | 14 | 60/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 67/2 |
| 10 | 12 | 79/4 |
| 11 | 2 | 81/5 |
| 12 | 4 | 85/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 91/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 95/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 100/5 |
| 16 | 9 | 109/6 |
| 17 | 10 | 119/7 |
| 18 | 8 | 127/7 |
| 19 | 7 | 134/8 |
| 20 | 14 | 148/10 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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