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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
9 Jul 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Hove · Venue photographRecorded result
Sussex started on 59%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 8% to 93% during the match (Kent: 7% to 92%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Nathan McAndrew · Ollie Robinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan McAndrew · b Ollie Robinson | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondrun out · Ollie Robinson · Nathan McAndrew5 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Ollie Robinson | 47 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 130.56 |
 Harry Finchcaught · Tom Clark · Henry Crocombe1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Clark · b Henry Crocombe | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
 Joe Denlyrun out · Ollie Robinson · Tymal Mills0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ollie Robinson | 0 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 Sam Billingscaught · Ollie Robinson · James Coles0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ollie Robinson · b James Coles | 18 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Chris Benjamincaught · Tom Alsop · Tymal Mills 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Alsop · b Tymal Mills | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Jack Leaningbowled · Tymal Mills1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tymal Mills | 13 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 92.86 |
|---|
 Joey Evisonnot out3 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 48* | 24 | 3 | 4 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Tom Rogersbowled · Tymal Mills 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tymal Mills | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Fred Klaassennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Coles0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Ollie Robinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 12.67 | 0 | 2 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Henry Crocombe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 5.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Danny Lamb0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 6.29 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Tawanda Muyeye, 2.0) · 2-38 (Harry Finch, 4.5) · 3-40 (Joe Denly, 5.4) · 4-74 (Sam Billings, 10.3) · 5-75 (Chris Benjamin, 11.1) · 6-88 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 12.5) · 7-109 (Jack Leaning, 15.3) · 8-110 (Tom Rogers, 15.4)
Recorded target: 149 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 15 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 42/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 45/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 51/3 |
| 9 | 15 | 66/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 72/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 75/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 79/5 |
| 13 | 10 | 89/6 |
| 14 | 4 | 93/6 |
| 15 | 14 | 107/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 112/8 |
| 17 | 17 | 129/8 |
| 18 | 8 | 137/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 144/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 151/8 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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