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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
1 Jul 2026 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Warwickshire started on 59%; Warwickshire batted first.
Warwickshire's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Sussex: 0% to 44%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wardbowled · Richard Gleeson 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Richard Gleeson | 23 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 153.33 |
| Daniel Hughesbowled · Jordan Thompson 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jordan Thompson | 38 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 122.58 |
| George Thomaslbw · Usman Tariq 2 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Usman Tariq | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 214.29 |
| Oli Carterbowled · Beau Webster 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Beau Webster | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| John Simpsoncaught · Sam Hain · Usman Tariq 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Hain · b Usman Tariq | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| caught · Usman Tariq · b Dan Mousley |
| 8 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 80.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Richard Gleeson | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Danny Briggslbw · Richard Gleeson 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Richard Gleeson | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Sean Huntbowled · Richard Gleeson 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Richard Gleeson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jordan Thompson | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 6.33 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dan Mousley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Usman Tariq0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| 2.3 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 6.40 | 0 | 0 |
1-36 (Harrison Ward, 4.4) · 2-64 (George Thomas, 6.4) · 3-92 (Oli Carter, 10.0) · 4-98 (Daniel Hughes, 10.4) · 5-109 (Tom Alsop, 13.1) · 6-115 (John Simpson, 14.1) · 7-118 (Danny Briggs, 15.1) · 8-119 (Jack Carson, 15.3) · 9-119 (Sean Hunt, 15.4) · 10-122 (Tymal Mills, 16.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 22/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 31/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 16 | 59/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 68/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 75/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 81/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 92/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 99/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 107/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 109/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 115/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 118/6 |
| 16 | 2 | 120/9 |
| 17 | 2 | 122/10 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.