OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: SounderBruce
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
31 Oct 2024 · ODI
Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 50%; Scotland batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Tearcaught and bowled · Nosthush Kenjige 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nosthush Kenjige | 51 | 89 | 2 | 1 | 57.30 |
 Andrew Umeedcaught · Monank Patel · Saurabh Netravalkar2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Monank Patel · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 18 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Brandon McMullenbowled · Jasdeep Singh 11 fours · 6 sixes | bowled · b Jasdeep Singh | 151 | 140 | 11 | 6 | 107.86 |
| Richie Berringtoncaught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · Jasdeep Singh 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · b Jasdeep Singh | 26 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 96.30 |
 |
Scotland's chances ranged from 49% to 100% during the match (United States of America: 0% to 51%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Sanjay Krishnamurthi · b Saurabh Netravalkar |
| 12 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 92.31 |
| Michael Leasknot out 0 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 33* | 11 | 0 | 4 | 300.00 |
|---|
 Mark Wattnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 14 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 69 | 2 | 6.90 | 1 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 85 | 2 | 8.50 | 6 | 0 |
| Shadley van Schalkwyk1 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 58 | 0 | 5.80 | 6 | 0 |
| Nosthush Kenjige0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 4.90 | 1 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 4.90 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Andrew Umeed, 4.5) · 2-131 (Charlie Tear, 30.3) · 3-211 (Richie Berrington, 42.0) · 4-263 (Michael Jones, 46.4) · 5-306 (Brandon McMullen, 49.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 26/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 27/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 28/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 33/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 36/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 41/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 45/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 49/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 52/1 |
| 13 | 3 | 55/1 |
| 14 | 3 | 58/1 |
| 15 | 2 | 60/1 |
| 16 | 5 | 65/1 |
| 17 | 4 | 69/1 |
| 18 | 5 | 74/1 |
| 19 | 3 | 77/1 |
| 20 | 7 | 84/1 |
| 21 | 12 | 96/1 |
| 22 | 3 | 99/1 |
| 23 | 4 | 103/1 |
| 24 | 7 | 110/1 |
| 25 | 6 | 116/1 |
| 26 | 9 | 125/1 |
| 27 | 0 | 125/1 |
| 28 | 1 | 126/1 |
| 29 | 3 | 129/1 |
| 30 | 2 | 131/1 |
| 31 | 2 | 133/2 |
| 32 | 3 | 136/2 |
| 33 | 5 | 141/2 |
| 34 | 8 | 149/2 |
| 35 | 3 | 152/2 |
| 36 | 6 | 158/2 |
| 37 | 16 | 174/2 |
| 38 | 3 | 177/2 |
| 39 | 8 | 185/2 |
| 40 | 13 | 198/2 |
| 41 | 6 | 204/2 |
| 42 | 7 | 211/3 |
| 43 | 20 | 231/3 |
| 44 | 12 | 243/3 |
| 45 | 8 | 251/3 |
| 46 | 10 | 261/3 |
| 47 | 4 | 265/4 |
| 48 | 14 | 279/4 |
| 49 | 19 | 298/4 |
| 50 | 19 | 317/5 |
Mark Watt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brad Wheal: Dave Morton · Public domain
Andrew Umeed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
