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Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2023/24 · Men
27 Jan 2024 · T20
St George's Park, Gqeberha · Venue photographRecorded result
Sunrisers Eastern Cape started on 59%; Sunrisers Eastern Cape batted first.
Sunrisers Eastern Cape's chances ranged from 51% to 95% during the match (MI Cape Town: 5% to 49%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 27 Jan 2024, Sunrisers Eastern Cape played MI Cape Town at St George's Park, Gqeberha. Recorded result: Sunrisers Eastern Cape won by 4 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.