Sunrisers HyderabadversusLucknow Super Giants

5 Apr 2026 · T20

Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Lucknow Super Giants won by 5 wickets

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs156/9 Lucknow Super Giants19.5 overs160/5 Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium, Uppal ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 52%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Lucknow Super Giants is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 1% to 53% during the match (Lucknow Super Giants: 47% to 99%).

Biggest swings

0.6: Mohammed Shami to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 51% to 64%.
2.1: Mohammed Shami to TM Head, TM Head out. Lucknow Super Giants up from 62% to 73%.
2nd inns 19.1: JD Unadkat to RR Pant, four by RR Pant. Lucknow Super Giants up from 79% to 92%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad156/9 Lucknow Super Giants160/5

Innings 1