UP WarriorzversusRoyal Challengers Bengaluru

29 Jan 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 8 wickets

UP Warriorz20.0 overs143/8 Royal Challengers Bengaluru13.1 overs147/2 Kotambi Stadium, Vadodara ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

UP Warriorz started on 37%; UP Warriorz batted first.

UP Warriorz’s chance of winning (%) · Royal Challengers Bengaluru is the rest

UP Warriorz's chances ranged from 0% to 69% during the match (Royal Challengers Bengaluru: 32% to 100%).

Biggest swings

8.1: N de Klerk to MM Lanning, MM Lanning out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 33% to 41%.
8.5: N de Klerk to AE Jones, AE Jones out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 40% to 47%.
13.2: GM Harris to CL Tryon, CL Tryon out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 54% to 60%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Royal Challengers Bengaluru chose to field
Player of the match: Grace Harris
match referees: NK Lokur
reserve umpires: AS Guha
tv umpires: T Ematty
umpires: AK Argal, Anish Sahasrabudhe

Match history & source

On 29 Jan 2026, UP Warriorz played Royal Challengers Bengaluru at Kotambi Stadium, Vadodara. Recorded result: Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 8 wickets.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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