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Netherlands tour of Oman · 2024/25 · Men
14 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 37%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 20% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 80%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teja Nidamanurucaught · Mehran Khan · Muzahir Raza 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mehran Khan · b Muzahir Raza | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Max O'Dowdbowled · Mehran Khan 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Mehran Khan | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 121.05 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shakeel Ahmed | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Scott Edwardscaught and bowled · Sufyan Mehmood 7 fours · 5 sixes | caught and bowled · b Sufyan Mehmood | 99 | 55 | 7 | 5 | 180.00 |
| bowled · b Jay Odedra |
| 15 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 115.38 |
| Shariz Ahmadbowled · Jay Odedra 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jay Odedra | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| Noah Croesnot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 28* | 18 | 4 | 0 | 155.56 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muzahir Raza0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Shakeel Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 0 | 1 |
| Mehran Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Aamir Kaleem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sufyan Mehmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Jay Odedra0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Teja Nidamanuru, 0.2) · 2-5 (Bas de Leede, 1.3) · 3-44 (Max O'Dowd, 6.3) · 4-91 (Colin Ackermann, 11.1) · 5-109 (Shariz Ahmad, 13.4) · 6-185 (Scott Edwards, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 8/2 |
| 3 | 4 | 12/2 |
| 4 | 8 | 20/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 27/2 |
| 6 | 13 | 40/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 46/3 |
| 8 | 14 | 60/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 70/3 |
| 10 | 13 | 83/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 90/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 100/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 107/4 |
| 14 | 5 | 112/5 |
| 15 | 11 | 123/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 134/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 142/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 153/5 |
| 19 | 20 | 173/5 |
| 20 | 12 | 185/6 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.