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Photo: Joe.Bekker at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
4 Jan 2024 · T20
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Renegades started on 45%; Melbourne Renegades batted first.
Melbourne Renegades's chances ranged from 0% to 46% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 54% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Jewellbowled · Fergus O'Neill 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fergus O'Neill | 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 185.71 |
| Ben McDermottbowled · Fergus O'Neill 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Fergus O'Neill | 25 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 108.70 |
| Macalister Wrightlbw · Adam Zampa 0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Adam Zampa | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Sam Haincaught · Adam Zampa · Peter Siddle 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Adam Zampa · b Peter Siddle | 51 | 36 | 2 | 3 | 141.67 |
| Corey Andersonnot out 3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 41* | 35 | 3 | 2 | 117.14 |
| Tim David |
| not out |
| 6* |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 120.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fergus O'Neill0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Will Sutherland0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Peter Siddle0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.64 | 0 | 0 |
| Ruwantha Kellepotha0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-27 (Caleb Jewell, 3.0) · 2-46 (Macalister Wright, 5.3) · 3-48 (Ben McDermott, 6.1) · 4-132 (Sam Hain, 17.0)
Recorded target: 148 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 40/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 48/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 50/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 53/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 58/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 67/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 72/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 78/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 83/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 90/3 |
| 15 | 17 | 107/3 |
| 16 | 14 | 121/3 |
| 17 | 11 | 132/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 141/4 |
| 19 | 7 | 148/4 |
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shaun Marsh: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Quinton de Kock: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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