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Bangladesh tour of West Indies · 2024/25 · Men
30 Nov 2024 · Test
Sabina Park · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mahmudul Hasan Joy · b Taijul Islam | 43 | 63 | 2 | 1 | 68.25 |
| Mikyle Louiscaught · Shahadat Hossain · Taijul Islam 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shahadat Hossain · b Taijul Islam | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Keacy Cartycaught · Litton Das · Taskin Ahmed 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Litton Das · b Taskin Ahmed | 14 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 32.56 |
| Kavem Hodgelbw · Taijul Islam 6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Taijul Islam | 55 | 75 | 6 | 0 | 73.33 |
| Alick Athanazebowled · Taijul Islam 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taijul Islam | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Justin Greavesbowled · Taskin Ahmed 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taskin Ahmed | 20 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Taijul Islam | 12 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephbowled · Hasan Mahmud 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Mahmud | 5 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 23.81 |
|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Hasan Mahmud | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephbowled · Nahid Rana 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nahid Rana | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 114.29 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10.0 | 0 | 45 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17.0 | 5 | 50 | 5 | 2.94 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9.0 | 2 | 32 | 1 | 3.56 | 1 | 0 | |
| 8.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 3.88 | 0 | 0 |
1-23 (Mikyle Louis, 4.2) · 2-57 (Keacy Carty, 14.5) · 3-92 (Kraigg Brathwaite, 24.3) · 4-106 (Alick Athanaze, 26.1) · 5-143 (Kavem Hodge, 38.1) · 6-156 (Justin Greaves, 42.2) · 7-164 (Joshua Da Silva, 45.1) · 8-174 (Alzarri Joseph, 48.1) · 9-175 (Kemar Roach, 48.5) · 10-185 (Shamar Joseph, 50.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 23/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 29/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 30/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 36/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 45/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 46/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 50/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 51/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 53/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 55/1 |
| 15 | 5 | 60/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 64/2 |
| 17 | 2 | 66/2 |
| 18 | 6 | 72/2 |
| 19 | 7 | 79/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 80/2 |
| 21 | 5 | 85/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 87/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 90/2 |
| 24 | 1 | 91/2 |
| 25 | 5 | 96/3 |
| 26 | 10 | 106/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 108/4 |
| 28 | 3 | 111/4 |
| 29 | 4 | 115/4 |
| 30 | 6 | 121/4 |
| 31 | 0 | 121/4 |
| 32 | 4 | 125/4 |
| 33 | 4 | 129/4 |
| 34 | 4 | 133/4 |
| 35 | 5 | 138/4 |
| 36 | 1 | 139/4 |
| 37 | 3 | 142/4 |
| 38 | 1 | 143/4 |
| 39 | 0 | 143/5 |
| 40 | 5 | 148/5 |
| 41 | 0 | 148/5 |
| 42 | 8 | 156/5 |
| 43 | 3 | 159/6 |
| 44 | 0 | 159/6 |
| 45 | 5 | 164/6 |
| 46 | 8 | 172/7 |
| 47 | 1 | 173/7 |
| 48 | 1 | 174/7 |
| 49 | 2 | 176/9 |
| 50 | 9 | 185/10 |
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Taskin Ahmed: Mahbub Ali Zaki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.