OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Kathy Lachina
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
South Africa tour of Pakistan · 2025/26 · Men
6 Nov 2025 · ODI
Iqbal Stadium, Faisalabad · Venue photographRecorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 61%; Pakistan batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fakhar Zamancaught · Quinton de Kock · Nandre Burger0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Quinton de Kock · b Nandre Burger | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Saim Ayubcaught and bowled · Corbin Bosch 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Corbin Bosch | 53 | 66 | 5 | 1 | 80.30 |
 Mohammad Babar Azamcaught · Donavon Ferreira · Nandre Burger0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Donavon Ferreira · b Nandre Burger | 11 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 84.62 |
 Mohammad Rizwanbowled · Nandre Burger1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nandre Burger |
Pakistan's chances ranged from 0% to 62% during the match (South Africa: 38% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Salman Ali Aghabowled · Corbin Bosch 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Corbin Bosch | 69 | 106 | 5 | 0 | 65.09 |
|---|
| Hussain Talatcaught and bowled · Nqaba Peter 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nqaba Peter | 10 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Mohammad Nawazcaught and bowled · Nqaba Peter 3 fours · 4 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nqaba Peter | 59 | 59 | 3 | 4 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Fahim Ashrafcaught · LG Pretorius · Nandre Burger 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · LG Pretorius · b Nandre Burger | 28 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 155.56 |
|---|
 Shaheen Afridicaught and bowled · Nqaba Peter0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nqaba Peter | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Mohammad Wasimnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Naseem Shahnot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 6* | 1 | 0 | 1 | 600.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 11 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nandre Burger0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 46 | 4 | 4.60 | 4 | 1 |
| Corbin Bosch1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 58 | 2 | 5.80 | 1 | 0 |
| Bjorn Fortuin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 4.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Donavon Ferreira0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 4.10 | 2 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nqaba Peter0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 55 | 3 | 6.88 | 4 | 0 |
1-1 (Fakhar Zaman, 0.3) · 2-17 (Mohammad Babar Azam, 4.1) · 3-22 (Mohammad Rizwan, 4.5) · 4-114 (Saim Ayub, 24.3) · 5-131 (Hussain Talat, 30.0) · 6-190 (Salman Ali Agha, 41.0) · 7-233 (Fahim Ashraf, 46.5) · 8-234 (Shaheen Afridi, 47.1) · 9-263 (Mohammad Nawaz, 49.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 23/3 |
| 6 | 1 | 24/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 27/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 31/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 34/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 41/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 42/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 43/3 |
| 13 | 1 | 44/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 47/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 55/3 |
| 16 | 3 | 58/3 |
| 17 | 1 | 59/3 |
| 18 | 6 | 65/3 |
| 19 | 7 | 72/3 |
| 20 | 13 | 85/3 |
| 21 | 2 | 87/3 |
| 22 | 8 | 95/3 |
| 23 | 9 | 104/3 |
| 24 | 8 | 112/3 |
| 25 | 3 | 115/4 |
| 26 | 2 | 117/4 |
| 27 | 5 | 122/4 |
| 28 | 3 | 125/4 |
| 29 | 2 | 127/4 |
| 30 | 4 | 131/5 |
| 31 | 4 | 135/5 |
| 32 | 5 | 140/5 |
| 33 | 7 | 147/5 |
| 34 | 3 | 150/5 |
| 35 | 6 | 156/5 |
| 36 | 5 | 161/5 |
| 37 | 3 | 164/5 |
| 38 | 7 | 171/5 |
| 39 | 2 | 173/5 |
| 40 | 6 | 179/5 |
| 41 | 11 | 190/6 |
| 42 | 7 | 197/6 |
| 43 | 8 | 205/6 |
| 44 | 3 | 208/6 |
| 45 | 2 | 210/6 |
| 46 | 13 | 223/6 |
| 47 | 11 | 234/7 |
| 48 | 3 | 237/8 |
| 49 | 10 | 247/8 |
| 50 | 22 | 269/9 |
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Quinton de Kock: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Naseem Shah: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Fakhar Zaman: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
