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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
12 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Portugal more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Portugal started on 65%; Portugal batted first.
Portugal's chances ranged from 0% to 79% during the match (Austria: 21% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imran Asifcaught · Azhar Andani · Amandeep Singh 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Azhar Andani · b Amandeep Singh | 17 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 77.27 |
| Karanbir Singhcaught · Suman Ghimire · Syed Maisam Ali 3 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Suman Ghimire · b Syed Maisam Ali | 51 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 164.52 |
| Bilal Zalmaicaught · Najjam Shahzad · Syed Maisam Ali 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Najjam Shahzad · b Syed Maisam Ali | 27 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Aqib Iqbalnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 16* | 8 | 1 | 1 | 200.00 |
| Abrar Bilalnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 11 | 1 | 0 | 118.18 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAM Henri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Amandeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Najjam Shahzad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| F Stoman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Sirajullah Khadim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Syed Maisam Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| J Vijay0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-35 (Imran Asif, 5.5) · 2-81 (Bilal Zalmai, 11.0) · 3-106 (Karanbir Singh, 12.1)
Recorded target: 126 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 28/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 34/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 35/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 45/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 49/1 |
| 9 | 16 | 65/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 72/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 81/2 |
| 12 | 25 | 106/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 110/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 116/3 |
| 15 | 12 | 128/3 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.