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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
13 Mar 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 42%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 53% during the match (Netherlands: 47% to 100%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikramjit Singhcaught · Tangeni Lungameni · JJ Smit 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tangeni Lungameni · b JJ Smit | 17 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Max O'Dowdbowled · Bernard Scholtz 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Bernard Scholtz | 17 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 58.62 |
 Zach Lion-Cachetbowled · Bernard Scholtz0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Bernard Scholtz | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22.22 |
 Colin Ackermannnot out6 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 54* | 81 | 6 | 1 | 66.67 |
| Scott Edwardsnot out4 fours · 0 sixes |
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| not out |
| 49* |
| 86 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 56.98 |
| Extras | byes: 8 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Smit0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 5.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Ruben Trumpelmann0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Tangeni Lungameni1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernard Scholtz2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 2.70 | 0 | 0 |
| Gerhard Erasmus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 3.90 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaun Fouché0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-33 (Vikramjit Singh, 5.0) · 2-37 (Zach Lion-Cachet, 8.3) · 3-40 (Max O'Dowd, 10.1)
Recorded target: 149 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 13/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 33/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 33/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 35/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 37/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 38/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 40/2 |
| 11 | 0 | 40/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 41/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 43/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 44/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 53/3 |
| 16 | 3 | 56/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 61/3 |
| 18 | 4 | 65/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 71/3 |
| 20 | 2 | 73/3 |
| 21 | 2 | 75/3 |
| 22 | 7 | 82/3 |
| 23 | 9 | 91/3 |
| 24 | 3 | 94/3 |
| 25 | 8 | 102/3 |
| 26 | 3 | 105/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 107/3 |
| 28 | 10 | 117/3 |
| 29 | 4 | 121/3 |
| 30 | 1 | 122/3 |
| 31 | 1 | 123/3 |
| 32 | 0 | 123/3 |
| 33 | 6 | 129/3 |
| 34 | 1 | 130/3 |
| 35 | 6 | 136/3 |
| 36 | 6 | 142/3 |
| 37 | 7 | 149/3 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
