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ACC Men's Premier Cup · 2024 · Men
16 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Saudi Arabia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Qatar started on 33%; Qatar batted first.
Qatar's chances ranged from 27% to 100% during the match (Saudi Arabia: 1% to 73%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Waheedcaught · Shahzaib Jamil · Amir Farooq 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shahzaib Jamil · b Amir Farooq | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Usman Khalidbowled · Gayan Munaweera 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gayan Munaweera | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Faisal Khanbowled · Gayan Munaweera 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gayan Munaweera | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Hisham Sheikhbowled · Musawar Shah 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Musawar Shah | 20 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Manan Alilbw · Muhammad Jabir 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Muhammad Jabir | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| caught · Kamran Khan · b H Rathod |
| 57 |
| 40 |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 142.50 |
| Kashif Abbascaught · Mohammad Ahnaff · Musawar Shah 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohammad Ahnaff · b Musawar Shah | 17 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 212.50 |
|---|
| Zain Ul Abidinnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 16* | 15 | 1 | 1 | 106.67 |
|---|
| Usman Najeebstumped · Shahzaib Jamil · H Rathod 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Shahzaib Jamil · b H Rathod | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ishtiaq Ahmadnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Farooq0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Gayan Munaweera1 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 1 | 1 |
| Muhammad Jabir0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Musawar Shah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| H Rathod0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Abdul Waheed, 0.1) · 2-14 (Faisal Khan, 1.3) · 3-16 (Usman Khalid, 3.3) · 4-18 (Manan Ali, 5.1) · 5-69 (Hisham Sheikh, 13.5) · 6-93 (Kashif Abbas, 15.4) · 7-130 (Waji Ul Hassan, 18.2) · 8-130 (Usman Najeeb, 18.4)
Recorded target: 154 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 14/2 |
| 3 | 2 | 16/2 |
| 4 | 0 | 16/3 |
| 5 | 2 | 18/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 20/4 |
| 7 | 6 | 26/4 |
| 8 | 11 | 37/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 42/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 47/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 54/4 |
| 12 | 3 | 57/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 61/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 70/5 |
| 15 | 11 | 81/5 |
| 16 | 13 | 94/6 |
| 17 | 19 | 113/6 |
| 18 | 15 | 128/6 |
| 19 | 6 | 134/8 |
| 20 | 4 | 138/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.