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Asia Pacific Cricket Champions Trophy · 2025 · Men
24 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 72%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 72% to 100% during the match (Singapore: 0% to 29%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aman Desaicaught · Babar Hayat · Paras Singh 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Babar Hayat · b Paras Singh | 32 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 177.78 |
| K Sathishbowled · Yasim Murtaza 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Yasim Murtaza | 26 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 108.33 |
| HK Kukrejarun out · Kalhan Challu · Paras Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Kalhan Challu | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Girin Gunecaught · Babar Hayat · Ayush Shukla 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Babar Hayat · b Ayush Shukla | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Manpreet Singhcaught · Zeeshan Ali · Nasrulla Rana 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zeeshan Ali · b Nasrulla Rana | 40 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 173.91 |
| bowled · b Yasim Murtaza |
| 5 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 71.43 |
| MA Sherrybowled · Ehsan Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ehsan Khan | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 81.82 |
|---|
| Kabir Berliastumped · Zeeshan Ali · Yasim Murtaza 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Zeeshan Ali · b Yasim Murtaza | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Harsh Venkataramcaught · Babar Hayat · Nasrulla Rana 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Babar Hayat · b Nasrulla Rana | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 91.67 |
|---|
| Pranav Sudarshancaught · Babar Hayat · Nasrulla Rana 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Babar Hayat · b Nasrulla Rana | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Akshay Purinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayush Shukla0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ehsan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Paras Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasim Murtaza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Waqas Barkat0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nasrulla Rana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.52 | 1 | 0 |
1-36 (Aman Desai, 4.2) · 2-42 (HK Kukreja, 5.0) · 3-51 (Girin Gune, 6.0) · 4-92 (K Sathish, 11.0) · 5-109 (Manpreet Singh, 12.3) · 6-114 (SH Venugopal, 13.3) · 7-122 (Kabir Berlia, 15.1) · 8-139 (MA Sherry, 18.0) · 9-140 (Pranav Sudarshan, 18.3) · 10-141 (Harsh Venkataram, 18.5)
Recorded target: 194 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 29/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 32/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 42/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 51/3 |
| 7 | 8 | 59/3 |
| 8 | 12 | 71/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 74/3 |
| 10 | 13 | 87/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 92/4 |
| 12 | 12 | 104/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 112/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 115/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 122/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 127/7 |
| 17 | 9 | 136/7 |
| 18 | 3 | 139/8 |
| 19 | 2 | 141/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.