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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
6 Jun 2025 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Surrey started on 55%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 48% to 100% during the match (Kent: 0% to 53%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Dominic Sibley · Mitchell Santner 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Dominic Sibley · b Mitchell Santner | 26 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 123.81 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondrun out · Sam Curran · Daniel Worrall0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sam Curran | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Zak Crawleyrun out · Mitchell Santner · Nathan Smith4 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Mitchell Santner | 46 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 148.39 |
 Joe Denlycaught · Chris Jordan · Mitchell Santner4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Jordan · b Mitchell Santner |
| 22 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 127.27 |
| Tom Rogerscaught · Sam Curran · Mitchell Santner 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Curran · b Mitchell Santner | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Sam Billingscaught · Chris Jordan · Nathan Smith0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Jordan · b Nathan Smith | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Jack Leaningcaught · Dominic Sibley · Sam Curran0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dominic Sibley · b Sam Curran | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Grant Stewartcaught · Jason Roy · Sam Curran0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Roy · b Sam Curran | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Fred Klaassennot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 21* | 16 | 2 | 0 | 131.25 |
|---|
| Wes Agarrun out · Chris Jordan · Chris Jordan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Chris Jordan | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Matt Parkinsonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 8.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Daniel Worrall0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Jordan Clark0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-6 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 1.2) · 2-48 (Tawanda Muyeye, 6.2) · 3-109 (Joe Denly, 12.5) · 4-109 (Tom Rogers, 13.0) · 5-110 (Zak Crawley, 13.1) · 6-113 (Sam Billings, 14.0) · 7-117 (Grant Stewart, 15.1) · 8-118 (Jack Leaning, 15.3) · 9-138 (Wes Agar, 17.5)
Recorded target: 194 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 14 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 46/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 56/2 |
| 8 | 15 | 71/2 |
| 9 | 12 | 83/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 87/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 100/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 106/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 109/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 113/6 |
| 15 | 4 | 117/6 |
| 16 | 7 | 124/8 |
| 17 | 11 | 135/8 |
| 18 | 4 | 139/9 |
| 19 | 6 | 145/9 |
| 20 | 6 | 151/9 |
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jordan Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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