OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Asia Pacific Cricket Champions Trophy · 2025 · Men
24 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Malaysia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Samoa started on 10%; Samoa batted first.
Samoa's chances ranged from 0% to 56% during the match (Malaysia: 44% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Vissernot out 17 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 107* | 64 | 17 | 3 | 167.19 |
| SJ Frenchbowled · Muhammad Amir 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Amir | 27 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 84.38 |
| F Suluotocaught · Syed Aziz · Virandeep Singh 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Syed Aziz · b Virandeep Singh | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 144.44 |
| CK Jasmatnot out 0 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 35* | 15 | 0 | 5 | 233.33 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syed Aziz0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls |
|---|
| 3.0 |
| 0 |
| 34 |
| 0 |
| 11.33 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| Vijay Unni0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 13.25 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Virandeep Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Muhammad Amir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Azri Azhar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
|---|
| Ahmed Aqeel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
1-114 (SJ French, 13.1) · 2-136 (F Suluoto, 15.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 16 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 43/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 45/0 |
| 6 | 16 | 61/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 65/0 |
| 8 | 11 | 76/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 85/0 |
| 10 | 10 | 95/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 101/0 |
| 12 | 6 | 107/0 |
| 13 | 7 | 114/0 |
| 14 | 8 | 122/1 |
| 15 | 8 | 130/1 |
| 16 | 6 | 136/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 142/2 |
| 18 | 18 | 160/2 |
| 19 | 17 | 177/2 |
| 20 | 11 | 188/2 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.